← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University3.77+6.02vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.48+6.16vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+3.99vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College3.56+3.50vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.53+2.75vs Predicted
-
6Boston University2.91+4.28vs Predicted
-
7Yale University4.24-1.82vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.04vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University2.60+2.44vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University3.60-2.27vs Predicted
-
11Boston College3.73-3.90vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University2.39+0.52vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island3.37-4.75vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College2.71-3.32vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University2.21-2.15vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont2.70-4.85vs Predicted
-
17Middlebury College1.26-1.30vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.02Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
8.16Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
6.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
7.5Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
7.75Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
10.28Boston University2.910.0%1st Place
-
5.18Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
-
8.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
11.44Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
-
7.73Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
7.1Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
12.52Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
-
8.25University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
10.68Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
-
12.85Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
-
11.15University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
-
15.7Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
-
12.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Josh Dochoda | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.7% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 4.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 9.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Walter Florio | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 11.8% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 4.1% |
| Alexander Baskin | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 50.9% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.