← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.48+7.19vs Predicted
-
2Yale University4.24+3.32vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.53+4.99vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College3.56+3.54vs Predicted
-
5Boston University2.91+5.11vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.86vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University3.60+0.46vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island3.37+0.29vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont2.70+2.09vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University2.60+1.69vs Predicted
-
11Boston College3.73-3.85vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University2.21+1.13vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University2.39-0.92vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-6.16vs Predicted
-
15Middlebury College1.26+0.60vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College2.71-4.91vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-4.09vs Predicted
-
18Roger Williams University3.77-11.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.19Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
5.32Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
-
7.99Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
7.54Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
10.11Boston University2.910.0%1st Place
-
6.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
7.46Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
8.29University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
11.09University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
-
11.69Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
-
7.15Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
13.13Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
-
12.08Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
-
7.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
15.6Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
-
11.09Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
-
12.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
-
6.66Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Baird | 11.4% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Josh Dochoda | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 5.6% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 13.7% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.8% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Baskin | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 47.5% |
| Walter Florio | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 4.3% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 11.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.