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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+7.10vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+5.10vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.77+4.14vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.60+3.52vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.91+5.26vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.25vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.56+0.69vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.73-0.96vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.24-3.82vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.21+3.16vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.37-2.31vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.70-0.48vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.48-5.07vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.21-5.16vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.39-2.65vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.60-4.33vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-3.97vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.26-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.1Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.14Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.52Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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10.26Boston University2.910.0%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.69Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.04Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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5.18Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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13.16Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.52University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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7.93Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.84Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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12.35Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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11.67Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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13.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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15.55Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Ty Ingram | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Josh Dochoda | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.3% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 12.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 4.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 6.6% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 12.2% |
| Alexander Baskin | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.