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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.77+6.27vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.56+6.06vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+4.28vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+4.50vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+2.00vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.22vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.60+4.69vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.60-0.41vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+4.03vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.91+0.76vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.21-1.58vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.26+3.96vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.24-7.77vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.21-1.20vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.53-7.08vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.48-7.81vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.82-6.01vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.70-6.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.06Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.28Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.5University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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11.69Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.59Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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13.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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10.76Boston University2.910.0%1st Place
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9.42Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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15.96Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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5.23Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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12.8Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.92Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.19Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.99Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.1University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 5.7% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Frank Reeg | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 17.5% | 11.2% |
| Josh Dochoda | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Alexander Baskin | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 15.0% | 53.4% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.8% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 12.4% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.