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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.25+7.05vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.20+6.25vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.81+6.87vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+4.01vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.32vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20+2.13vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.58+3.63vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.09+0.44vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.71-2.99vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.35-2.32vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.31+0.81vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.97-2.66vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.24-5.25vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.92-5.08vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-2.64vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-1.24vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.19-8.72vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.08-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.05Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.25Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.87Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.13Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.63University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.44University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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6.01Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.68Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.81Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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9.34Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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7.75Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.92Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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12.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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14.76Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.28Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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15.39Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Mack Fox | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Long | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 3.7% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Martim Anderson | 10.7% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 6.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.3% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| William Hawk | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 9.8% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 22.2% | 29.2% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Ben Arquit | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 19.6% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.