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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.24+7.15vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.19+6.35vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.81+6.91vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.09+4.40vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.71+1.09vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.40vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35+0.38vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58+2.56vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.97-0.09vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.25-1.92vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+1.55vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.20-3.66vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.20-5.04vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39+0.46vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-6.98vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.92-6.72vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.31-5.22vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.08-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.35Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.91Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.4University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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6.09Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.38Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.56University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.91Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.08Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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12.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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8.34Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.96Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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14.46Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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9.28Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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11.78Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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15.39Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Holley | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Martim Anderson | 11.9% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Long | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Wade Waddell | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 11.1% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 20.1% | 28.4% |
| Mack Fox | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| William Hawk | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 6.0% |
| Ben Arquit | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 19.0% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.