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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+6.72vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.71+4.25vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.20+5.31vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.81+5.55vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.34vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+2.13vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.58+3.64vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+4.35vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.92+0.17vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.20-1.67vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.09-2.37vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.24-3.68vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.41-1.84vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.19-6.10vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-0.27vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.97-6.94vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.08-1.39vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.25-10.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.72Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.25Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.31Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.55Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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10.64University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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12.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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9.17Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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8.33Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.63University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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8.32Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.16Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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7.9Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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14.73Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.06Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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15.61Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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7.78Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Waddell | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Martim Anderson | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Trevor Long | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Mack Fox | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 8.0% |
| William Hawk | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Camille Matile | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 4.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 20.7% | 29.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Ben Arquit | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 18.3% | 46.8% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.