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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.81+8.84vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.19+6.37vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.20+5.33vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+3.31vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.09+3.44vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+1.50vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.71-0.93vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.41+3.21vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.92+0.19vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.20-1.67vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.25-3.04vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-3.53vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.24-5.20vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.97-5.28vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-0.24vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-3.43vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.58-6.26vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.08-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.84Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.37Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.33Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.44University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.5Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.07Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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11.21Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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9.19Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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8.33Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.96Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.8Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.72Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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14.76Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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10.74University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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15.39Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Pemberton | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Trevor Long | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Martim Anderson | 10.7% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Camille Matile | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 4.3% |
| William Hawk | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Mack Fox | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 21.9% | 29.3% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 10.9% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
| Ben Arquit | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 18.6% | 43.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.