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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+6.57vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.97+7.12vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+5.15vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.92+4.96vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.19vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.19+1.99vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.09+1.35vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.20-0.10vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.25-1.33vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.81-0.20vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.71-4.89vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.24-3.92vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-0.90vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.66-0.47vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.08+0.39vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.58-5.45vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.20-8.90vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.39-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.12Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.96Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.99Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.35University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.9Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.67Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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9.8Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.11Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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12.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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13.53Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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15.39Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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10.55University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.1Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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14.45Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Waddell | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Mack Fox | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| William Hawk | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Trevor Long | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Martim Anderson | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 8.5% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 19.1% | 16.4% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 19.3% | 40.7% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 14.4% | 19.8% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.