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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+6.54vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.25+6.00vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+5.14vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.71+1.96vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.25vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.24+1.83vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.20+0.95vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.92+0.94vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.97-0.19vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.20-1.78vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.19-2.85vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.39+2.80vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.58-2.69vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.09-5.84vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.81-5.51vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.08-0.61vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-4.59vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.66-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.0Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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5.96Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.83Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.95Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.94Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.81Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.22Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.15Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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14.8Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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9.49Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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15.39Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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12.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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13.62Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Waddell | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Mack Fox | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Martim Anderson | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Long | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| William Hawk | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 21.1% | 30.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 11.7% | 19.3% | 39.8% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 6.1% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.