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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+6.57vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.19+6.25vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.43vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.81+5.39vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.71+1.03vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.25+1.76vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+0.95vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.09+0.32vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.97-0.25vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.92-0.69vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.58-0.38vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.24-3.92vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.20-5.18vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39+0.36vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.20-7.08vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-3.68vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.08-1.54vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.66-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.25Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.39Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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6.03Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.76Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.32University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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8.75Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.31Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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10.62University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.82Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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14.36Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.92Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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12.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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15.46Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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13.67Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Waddell | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Long | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Martim Anderson | 11.7% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Mack Fox | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| William Hawk | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 21.5% | 24.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 7.7% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 10.5% | 18.4% | 42.4% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.