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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.71+5.23vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+6.22vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.14+5.43vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+3.24vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20+2.91vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.97+2.85vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.92+2.07vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+4.12vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.09-0.67vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College1.08+5.44vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.25-3.09vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.39+2.79vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.81-3.60vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.58-3.84vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-7.81vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.20-7.97vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.66-3.11vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.19-10.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.43Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.24Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.91Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.85Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.07Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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12.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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8.33University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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15.44Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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7.91Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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14.79Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.4Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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10.16University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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7.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.03Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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13.89Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.81Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martim Anderson | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Jackson McCoy | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Wade Waddell | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| William Hawk | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 6.4% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Ben Arquit | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 18.9% | 40.7% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 19.8% | 28.9% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Trevor Long | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 21.0% | 15.9% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.