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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.82+3.78vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.68+3.25vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College1.73+5.32vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University1.95+3.72vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.32+1.44vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.35+3.57vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia3.01-2.49vs Predicted
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8St. John's College1.42+1.26vs Predicted
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9Queen's University1.79-0.92vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology2.00-2.49vs Predicted
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11Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-3.61vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.43-5.88vs Predicted
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13William and Mary1.27-3.22vs Predicted
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15American University-0.13-1.66vs Predicted
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17Colgate University-1.39-1.86vs Predicted
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18Princeton University0.21-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78Fordham University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.25University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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8.32Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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7.72Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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6.44Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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9.57George Washington University1.350.0%1st Place
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4.51University of Virginia3.010.2%1st Place
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9.26St. John's College1.420.0%1st Place
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8.08Queen's University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.51Rochester Institute of Technology2.000.1%1st Place
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7.39Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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6.12Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.78William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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13.34American University-0.130.0%1st Place
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15.14Colgate University-1.390.0%1st Place
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12.78Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Gardner | 14.5% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 13.0% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Blair Davis | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Gardner | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Stessing | 17.7% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evgenia Olimpieva | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 0.1% |
| Charles Legge | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Nick Troche | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Christian Geary | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 9.9% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Conway | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 0.7% |
| Noel Klingler | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 18.0% | 34.4% | 15.7% |
| Sara Winkelman | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 14.2% | 71.6% |
| Anthony Pappenfus | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 23.5% | 26.7% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.