← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.37+6.90vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston2.38+5.12vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.27+7.59vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University1.54+6.46vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.06+2.42vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.26+5.57vs Predicted
-
7Yale University2.85-1.37vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania1.77+0.39vs Predicted
-
9Boston College2.58-1.84vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.28-2.71vs Predicted
-
11Boston University1.07+2.14vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.40-4.97vs Predicted
-
13Stanford University2.89-8.28vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.22vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-6.51vs Predicted
-
16Jacksonville University1.70-6.34vs Predicted
-
17University of Michigan-0.26-1.41vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College-0.13-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.9Brown University2.376.7%1st Place
-
7.12College of Charleston2.388.5%1st Place
-
10.59Tufts University1.272.9%1st Place
-
10.46Fordham University1.543.1%1st Place
-
7.42Bowdoin College2.067.7%1st Place
-
11.57Northeastern University1.262.7%1st Place
-
5.63Yale University2.8513.0%1st Place
-
8.39University of Pennsylvania1.775.3%1st Place
-
7.16Boston College2.587.1%1st Place
-
7.29U. S. Naval Academy2.287.5%1st Place
-
13.14Boston University1.071.8%1st Place
-
7.03Roger Williams University2.407.1%1st Place
-
4.72Stanford University2.8915.3%1st Place
-
13.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.6%1st Place
-
8.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.134.7%1st Place
-
9.66Jacksonville University1.704.0%1st Place
-
15.59University of Michigan-0.260.4%1st Place
-
15.08SUNY Maritime College-0.130.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Blake Behrens | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Benjamin Dufour | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Wyatt Bischoff | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
Lucas Thress | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
Sam Bonauto | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Sam Monaghan | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
Stephan Baker | 13.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Sofia Segalla | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
Peter Busch | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Jack Welburn | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Porter Bell | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 9.5% |
Kyle Pfrang | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Reade Decker | 15.3% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Annika VanderHorst | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 14.8% |
JJ Klempen | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Patrick Igoe | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
Jack Hammett | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 19.8% | 38.5% |
Luke Barker | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 22.0% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.