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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.97+8.01vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+5.43vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.25+4.93vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.71+1.91vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.84+4.28vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20+1.86vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.14+1.14vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.19-0.13vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.81+0.44vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.31+1.70vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.92-1.79vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+0.56vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.76-3.49vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.58-3.83vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-0.44vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-8.75vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.08-1.53vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-10.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.01Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.43Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.93Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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5.91Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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9.28Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.86Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.14Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.87Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.44Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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11.7Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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9.21Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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12.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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9.51University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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10.17University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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14.56Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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15.47Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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7.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Martim Anderson | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Jackson McCoy | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 6.1% |
| William Hawk | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Alexander Bowen | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 8.8% |
| Brendan Read | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 20.5% | 27.6% |
| Trevor Long | 7.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Ben Arquit | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 17.8% | 45.2% |
| Mack Fox | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.