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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.84+8.52vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+6.07vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.40vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.97+4.73vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.71+0.93vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+1.26vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.19+0.86vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58+2.33vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.14-0.98vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.92-0.70vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.81-1.44vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.76-1.92vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.39+1.41vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.25-6.55vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.08+0.44vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.20-8.01vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-4.63vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.31-6.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.52Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.73Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.93Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.26Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.86Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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10.33University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.02Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.3Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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9.56Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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14.41Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.45Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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15.44Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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7.99Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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12.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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11.29Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Mack Fox | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Long | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Martim Anderson | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Jackson McCoy | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| William Hawk | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Brendan Read | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 1.5% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 19.9% | 28.1% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 18.6% | 43.5% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Bowen | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 9.9% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.