← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.35+6.55vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+5.44vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.19+5.21vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.09+4.21vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.81+4.44vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University3.71-0.02vs Predicted
-
7Boston University2.97+1.92vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University3.12+0.16vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College2.92+0.03vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+2.47vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University3.14-2.63vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-1.71vs Predicted
-
13Yale University3.25-5.40vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University2.41-3.16vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont2.58-4.58vs Predicted
-
16Brown University3.20-8.01vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University1.39-2.23vs Predicted
-
18Middlebury College1.08-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.55Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
7.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
8.21Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
-
8.21University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
-
9.44Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
-
5.98Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
-
8.92Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
-
8.16Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
9.03Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
-
12.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
-
8.37Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
-
10.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
-
7.6Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
-
10.84Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
-
10.42University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
-
7.99Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
14.77Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
-
15.32Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Waddell | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Long | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Martim Anderson | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| William Hawk | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Bowen | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 9.4% |
| Jackson McCoy | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Shane Riera | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 8.9% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Camille Matile | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 2.5% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 22.0% | 31.6% |
| Ben Arquit | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 19.9% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.