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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.71+5.10vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.19+6.09vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.09+5.48vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.25+3.53vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.15vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.39+8.65vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.81+2.43vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.97+0.64vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.79+0.49vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.92-0.72vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.41+0.19vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.84-2.32vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.04-4.62vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-6.41vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.58-4.64vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.35-8.71vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-4.65vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.08-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.09Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.53Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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14.65Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.43Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.64Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.49Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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9.28Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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11.19Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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9.68Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.38Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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10.36University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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7.29Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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12.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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15.31Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martim Anderson | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Trevor Long | 9.3% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 20.1% | 30.9% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| William Hawk | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Camille Matile | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 5.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Alp Rodopman | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Mack Fox | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 8.9% |
| Ben Arquit | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 19.3% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.