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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.39+13.64vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.04+6.73vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.19+5.11vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+3.13vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.81+4.38vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.71-0.13vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.09+1.26vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.97+0.73vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+3.27vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.41+1.39vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.79-1.30vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-3.76vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.92-4.15vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.84-4.98vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.08+0.40vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.58-5.51vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-9.66vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.25-10.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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14.64Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.73Tufts University3.040.0%1st Place
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8.11Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.13Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.38Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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5.87Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.26University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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8.73Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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12.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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11.39Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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9.7Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.85Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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9.02Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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15.4Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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10.49University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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7.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.45Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Killian | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 21.1% | 31.5% |
| Alp Rodopman | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Wade Waddell | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Martim Anderson | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 8.5% |
| Camille Matile | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.6% |
| Sam Alexander | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Mack Fox | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| William Hawk | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 18.4% | 42.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 2.3% |
| Trevor Long | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.