← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.37+6.67vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.58+5.08vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+5.62vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.40+3.09vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.06+2.55vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University2.89-1.23vs Predicted
-
7University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.58vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston2.38-0.83vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy2.28-1.64vs Predicted
-
10Boston University1.07+3.04vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University1.54-0.60vs Predicted
-
12Jacksonville University1.70-2.35vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.27-2.40vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.05vs Predicted
-
15Yale University2.85-9.57vs Predicted
-
16University of Michigan-0.26-0.60vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University1.26-5.44vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College-0.13-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.67Brown University2.376.2%1st Place
-
7.08Boston College2.588.1%1st Place
-
8.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.135.1%1st Place
-
7.09Roger Williams University2.407.6%1st Place
-
7.55Bowdoin College2.066.6%1st Place
-
4.77Stanford University2.8915.8%1st Place
-
8.58University of Pennsylvania1.775.3%1st Place
-
7.17College of Charleston2.387.9%1st Place
-
7.36U. S. Naval Academy2.287.4%1st Place
-
13.04Boston University1.071.8%1st Place
-
10.4Fordham University1.542.9%1st Place
-
9.65Jacksonville University1.703.8%1st Place
-
10.6Tufts University1.273.1%1st Place
-
13.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.9%1st Place
-
5.43Yale University2.8513.9%1st Place
-
15.4University of Michigan-0.260.9%1st Place
-
11.56Northeastern University1.261.9%1st Place
-
15.07SUNY Maritime College-0.130.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Peter Busch | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Reade Decker | 15.8% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Porter Bell | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 9.6% |
| Lucas Thress | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Patrick Igoe | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 20.2% | 14.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 13.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 19.6% | 38.6% |
| Sam Monaghan | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 2.8% |
| Luke Barker | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 20.9% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.