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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Queen's University1.79+5.95vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia3.01+1.40vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College1.73+4.34vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University1.95+2.79vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.32+0.43vs Predicted
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7St. John's College1.42+2.40vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.68-2.60vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.82-4.21vs Predicted
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10Columbia University2.43-4.00vs Predicted
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11William and Mary1.27-1.15vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology2.00-4.57vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.35-4.44vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-7.62vs Predicted
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16Princeton University0.21-3.37vs Predicted
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17American University-0.13-3.56vs Predicted
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18Colgate University-1.39-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.95Queen's University1.790.0%1st Place
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4.4University of Virginia3.010.2%1st Place
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8.34Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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7.79Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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6.43Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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9.4St. John's College1.420.0%1st Place
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5.4University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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4.79Fordham University2.820.2%1st Place
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6.0Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.85William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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7.43Rochester Institute of Technology2.000.1%1st Place
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9.56George Washington University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.38Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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12.63Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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13.44American University-0.130.0%1st Place
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15.24Colgate University-1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Legge | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 17.8% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Blair Davis | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evgenia Olimpieva | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 0.8% |
| Michael Russom | 13.0% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gardner | 15.8% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Conway | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Nick Troche | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Julia Gardner | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| Christian Geary | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Pappenfus | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 21.6% | 25.5% | 9.4% |
| Noel Klingler | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 17.4% | 35.3% | 16.9% |
| Sara Winkelman | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 6.1% | 15.0% | 70.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.