← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.78+2.12vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.56+0.14vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University1.39+0.63vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.75-0.84vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-0.12vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.08-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.12University of Rhode Island1.780.2%1st Place
-
2.14University of Rhode Island2.560.4%1st Place
-
3.63Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
-
3.16University of Rhode Island1.750.2%1st Place
-
4.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
-
4.08Brown University1.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Pearson | 17.6% | 22.0% | 20.1% | 20.0% | 12.2% | 8.1% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 41.1% | 25.4% | 18.0% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Caroline King | 12.4% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 20.0% | 21.9% | 13.1% |
| Ryan Geib | 16.7% | 19.6% | 22.1% | 20.1% | 16.0% | 5.5% |
| Maya Stephani | 3.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 20.4% | 50.3% |
| Elizabeth Rolfes | 8.3% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 25.3% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.