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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49+3.81vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.78+1.10vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.56-0.92vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.75-0.83vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.08-0.84vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.39-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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3.1University of Rhode Island1.780.2%1st Place
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2.08University of Rhode Island2.560.4%1st Place
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3.17University of Rhode Island1.750.2%1st Place
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4.16Brown University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.68Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Stephani | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 21.2% | 47.1% |
| Christopher Pearson | 17.7% | 23.0% | 18.8% | 19.7% | 13.9% | 6.9% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 41.6% | 26.9% | 18.7% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Geib | 17.0% | 19.0% | 22.9% | 18.9% | 15.5% | 6.7% |
| Elizabeth Rolfes | 8.0% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 18.4% | 25.4% | 24.2% |
| Caroline King | 11.2% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 21.6% | 20.8% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.