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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.56+1.14vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.78+1.09vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.75+0.13vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.39-0.34vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.08-0.85vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14University of Rhode Island2.560.4%1st Place
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3.09University of Rhode Island1.780.2%1st Place
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3.13University of Rhode Island1.750.2%1st Place
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3.66Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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4.15Brown University1.080.1%1st Place
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4.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Gibbs | 39.2% | 29.9% | 16.5% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Christopher Pearson | 18.9% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 6.0% |
| Ryan Geib | 17.5% | 19.8% | 21.4% | 20.7% | 14.9% | 5.7% |
| Caroline King | 12.3% | 13.2% | 18.5% | 21.2% | 21.6% | 13.2% |
| Elizabeth Rolfes | 8.0% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 19.6% | 23.4% | 24.8% |
| Maya Stephani | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 20.7% | 48.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.