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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.37+6.30vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.58+4.69vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.85+2.10vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.27+6.05vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.06+1.82vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.28+0.64vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.40-0.61vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.26+2.70vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-0.99vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.89-5.54vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.54-1.08vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.86vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.70-4.14vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.77-5.96vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.07-2.71vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.26-1.36vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.13-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3Brown University2.376.8%1st Place
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6.69Boston College2.588.6%1st Place
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5.1Yale University2.8514.4%1st Place
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10.05Tufts University1.272.9%1st Place
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6.82Bowdoin College2.068.6%1st Place
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6.64U. S. Naval Academy2.288.2%1st Place
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6.39Roger Williams University2.408.5%1st Place
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10.7Northeastern University1.263.5%1st Place
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8.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.135.9%1st Place
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4.46Stanford University2.8916.5%1st Place
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9.92Fordham University1.543.1%1st Place
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12.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.1%1st Place
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8.86Jacksonville University1.704.2%1st Place
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8.04University of Pennsylvania1.774.9%1st Place
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12.29Boston University1.071.6%1st Place
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14.64University of Michigan-0.260.5%1st Place
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14.23SUNY Maritime College-0.130.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Peter Busch | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 14.4% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| JJ Klempen | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Reade Decker | 16.5% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 17.9% | 13.6% |
| Patrick Igoe | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Porter Bell | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 9.7% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 20.0% | 39.0% |
| Luke Barker | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 21.8% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.