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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.82+3.80vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.35+7.54vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College1.73+5.33vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University1.95+3.75vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.32+1.50vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia3.01-1.55vs Predicted
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7St. John's College1.42+2.43vs Predicted
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8William and Mary1.27+1.72vs Predicted
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9Columbia University2.43-3.02vs Predicted
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10Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-2.55vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology2.00-4.62vs Predicted
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13Colgate University-1.39+2.19vs Predicted
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15American University-0.13-1.61vs Predicted
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16Queen's University1.79-7.97vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.21-4.23vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.68-12.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Fordham University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.54George Washington University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.33Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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7.75Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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6.5Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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4.45University of Virginia3.010.2%1st Place
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9.43St. John's College1.420.0%1st Place
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9.72William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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5.98Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.45Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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7.38Rochester Institute of Technology2.000.1%1st Place
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15.19Colgate University-1.390.0%1st Place
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13.39American University-0.130.0%1st Place
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8.03Queen's University1.790.1%1st Place
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12.77Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Gardner | 14.3% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Gardner | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Zachary Schippe | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Blair Davis | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Stessing | 16.4% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evgenia Olimpieva | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Jonathan Conway | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 1.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 6.6% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nick Troche | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Sara Winkelman | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 15.5% | 69.7% |
| Noel Klingler | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 16.6% | 35.4% | 16.1% |
| Charles Legge | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Anthony Pappenfus | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 12.0% | 22.9% | 26.6% | 10.1% |
| Michael Russom | 10.6% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.