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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.56+1.16vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.78+1.09vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.08+1.06vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.75-0.85vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-0.12vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.39-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16University of Rhode Island2.560.4%1st Place
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3.09University of Rhode Island1.780.2%1st Place
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4.06Brown University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.15University of Rhode Island1.750.2%1st Place
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4.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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3.67Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Gibbs | 39.0% | 27.8% | 18.2% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Pearson | 18.6% | 21.1% | 21.3% | 18.0% | 13.8% | 7.2% |
| Elizabeth Rolfes | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 26.2% | 21.3% |
| Ryan Geib | 17.4% | 19.2% | 21.3% | 21.4% | 14.7% | 6.0% |
| Maya Stephani | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 18.7% | 50.6% |
| Caroline King | 11.8% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 20.0% | 22.9% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.