← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University1.39+2.80vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.36+0.52vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island1.78+0.21vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island2.56-1.74vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.08-0.74vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.8Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
-
2.52University of Rhode Island2.360.3%1st Place
-
3.21University of Rhode Island1.780.2%1st Place
-
2.26University of Rhode Island2.560.3%1st Place
-
4.26Brown University1.080.1%1st Place
-
4.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline King | 10.0% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 22.2% | 23.5% | 15.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 28.2% | 28.2% | 19.4% | 14.2% | 8.0% | 2.0% |
| Christopher Pearson | 16.5% | 17.3% | 23.1% | 20.8% | 15.9% | 6.4% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 34.7% | 28.3% | 20.2% | 11.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Rolfes | 7.2% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 20.5% | 24.5% | 26.3% |
| Maya Stephani | 3.4% | 4.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 24.2% | 48.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.