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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.58+2.45vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.45+1.60vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.77+2.46vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.11+3.92vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.12+2.27vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.09+1.29vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.64+2.20vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.01-0.39vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College-0.68+0.30vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.70-5.00vs Predicted
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11Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-4.49vs Predicted
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12University of Miami0.32-5.43vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-2.07-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45Jacksonville University1.5823.2%1st Place
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3.6Jacksonville University1.4520.4%1st Place
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5.46University of South Florida0.779.1%1st Place
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7.92Rollins College-0.114.2%1st Place
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7.27Florida State University0.125.5%1st Place
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7.29University of South Florida0.094.7%1st Place
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9.2Florida Institute of Technology-0.642.1%1st Place
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7.61University of South Florida0.014.2%1st Place
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9.3Eckerd College-0.682.5%1st Place
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5.0Jacksonville University0.7011.2%1st Place
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6.51Palm Beach Atlantic University0.366.5%1st Place
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6.57University of Miami0.325.9%1st Place
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11.82Embry-Riddle University-2.070.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Schweda | 23.2% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hank Seum | 20.4% | 18.8% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Jack Adderley | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 3.3% |
| Kamron Kaiser | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Reese Ambrose | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 2.1% |
| Noah Scholtz | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 20.8% | 10.5% |
| Blake March | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 2.6% |
| Peter Miller | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 22.8% | 11.1% |
| Fiona Froelich | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dawson Kohl | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| William Stratton | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Jay Hay | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 12.4% | 65.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.