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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.00+4.89vs Predicted
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2Washington College3.65+4.96vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.84+3.41vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.92+2.22vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.82+1.63vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+1.65vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.660.00vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University4.74-4.04vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-0.67vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.61-2.64vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College3.00-1.77vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.60-4.52vs Predicted
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14Clemson University2.20-2.29vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.64-2.19vs Predicted
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16University of Texas1.82-3.63vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.84-10.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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6.96Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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6.41Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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6.22University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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6.63St. Mary's College of Maryland3.820.1%1st Place
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7.65University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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3.96Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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8.33University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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7.36Old Dominion University3.610.1%1st Place
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9.23Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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7.48SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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11.71Clemson University2.200.0%1st Place
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12.81Tulane University1.640.0%1st Place
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12.37University of Texas1.820.0%1st Place
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6.41Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Stokes | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kuschner | 7.9% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jason Carminati | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 20.1% | 19.6% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Alan Alkins | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Todd | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 16.8% | 20.1% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 23.2% | 37.7% | 0.0% |
| Caitlynn Taylor | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 21.5% | 32.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.