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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.88+0.94vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.97+1.22vs Predicted
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3Northern Michigan University-0.15+0.96vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.30+0.99vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-0.22+0.32vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-0.62-0.06vs Predicted
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7Saginaw Valley State University-3.37+2.28vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University0.02-3.09vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-0.91-2.53vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-2.87-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94University of Michigan1.8845.1%1st Place
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3.22Michigan Technological University0.9717.8%1st Place
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3.96Northern Michigan University-0.1511.0%1st Place
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4.99Michigan Technological University-0.306.2%1st Place
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5.32Unknown School-0.225.7%1st Place
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5.94Unknown School-0.623.8%1st Place
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9.28Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.4%1st Place
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4.91Michigan State University0.027.0%1st Place
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6.47Grand Valley State University-0.912.9%1st Place
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8.98University of Toledo-2.870.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Lorenzo Puertas | 45.1% | 30.0% | 14.9% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Lucas Rodenroth | 17.8% | 20.8% | 21.4% | 17.5% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Marco Constantini | 11.0% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 19.2% | 16.6% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Alex Cross | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
Casey Dietsch | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 12.1% | 4.5% | 0.2% |
Josh Hacker | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 19.9% | 22.4% | 5.9% | 0.8% |
Piper Luke | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 27.8% | 60.1% |
Ella Beck | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
Reed Rossell | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 28.6% | 10.8% | 1.7% |
Cooper Avery | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 8.6% | 45.8% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.