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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lorenzo Puertas 45.1% 30.0% 14.9% 6.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Rodenroth 17.8% 20.8% 21.4% 17.5% 11.2% 7.4% 3.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1%
Marco Constantini 11.0% 14.1% 17.3% 19.2% 16.6% 11.6% 6.8% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Alex Cross 6.2% 8.8% 10.8% 15.2% 14.8% 16.9% 14.9% 10.4% 2.0% 0.1%
Casey Dietsch 5.7% 7.5% 9.7% 10.7% 15.7% 16.1% 17.9% 12.1% 4.5% 0.2%
Josh Hacker 3.8% 5.4% 6.7% 9.2% 12.5% 13.5% 19.9% 22.4% 5.9% 0.8%
Piper Luke 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 1.6% 2.1% 5.2% 27.8% 60.1%
Ella Beck 7.0% 9.0% 12.7% 13.2% 15.6% 16.1% 14.6% 9.0% 2.8% 0.1%
Reed Rossell 2.9% 3.5% 5.1% 7.2% 8.8% 14.2% 17.1% 28.6% 10.8% 1.7%
Cooper Avery 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 1.2% 1.9% 3.6% 8.6% 45.8% 36.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.