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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.81+7.57vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.74+3.26vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges5.05+1.35vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida4.17+3.17vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.49+1.12vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.78+2.59vs Predicted
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7Harvard University4.50-1.07vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.03+4.01vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.37+1.23vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.56-0.50vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.00+0.81vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.36-1.26vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.26-2.38vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.29+0.66vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.85-2.66vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.64-2.80vs Predicted
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17University of Washington1.80-1.11vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.07-6.55vs Predicted
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19U. S. Naval Academy2.99-7.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.57Tufts University3.810.0%1st Place
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5.26Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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4.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges5.050.2%1st Place
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7.17University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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6.12Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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8.59College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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5.93Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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12.01Old Dominion University3.030.0%1st Place
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10.23University of Vermont3.370.0%1st Place
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9.5Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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11.81SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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10.74Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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10.62St. Mary's College of Maryland3.260.0%1st Place
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14.66Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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12.34University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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13.2Yale University2.640.0%1st Place
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15.89University of Washington1.800.0%1st Place
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11.45Stanford University3.070.0%1st Place
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11.55U. S. Naval Academy2.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Criezis | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Chris Barnard | 14.9% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Booth | 19.3% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Marks | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Fred Strammer | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Bowers | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Tedd Himler | 10.2% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Leon | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 4.5% |
| Pete Hazelett | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Ted Green | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Kyle Carney | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Gordon Lamphere | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 20.4% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 6.7% |
| John Vrolyk | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 9.0% |
| William Wilder | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 40.2% |
| Oliver Riihiluoma | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% |
| George Prieto | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.