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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.68+4.22vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College1.73+6.25vs Predicted
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3St. John's College1.42+6.36vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.82+1.02vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology2.00+2.46vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University1.95+1.71vs Predicted
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7William and Mary1.27+2.90vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.79+0.05vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.32-2.63vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia3.01-5.58vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.43-5.92vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.35-3.46vs Predicted
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15Colgate University-1.39+0.19vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-8.75vs Predicted
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17American University-0.13-3.57vs Predicted
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18Princeton University0.21-5.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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8.25Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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9.36St. John's College1.420.0%1st Place
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5.02Fordham University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.46Rochester Institute of Technology2.000.1%1st Place
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7.71Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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9.9William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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8.05Queen's University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.37Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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6.08Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.54George Washington University1.350.0%1st Place
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15.19Colgate University-1.390.0%1st Place
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7.25Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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13.43American University-0.130.0%1st Place
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12.76Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Russom | 12.0% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Evgenia Olimpieva | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Graham Gardner | 13.8% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Troche | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Paul Stevens | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Conway | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| Charles Legge | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Blair Davis | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 14.9% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 11.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Gardner | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Sara Winkelman | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 7.3% | 13.7% | 69.7% |
| Christian Geary | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Noel Klingler | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 17.7% | 36.4% | 15.7% |
| Anthony Pappenfus | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 21.5% | 26.6% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.