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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.37+6.12vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.85+3.13vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.58+3.68vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.06+3.06vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.28+1.67vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.40+0.59vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.11vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.27+1.98vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.89-4.38vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.07+2.19vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.54-1.14vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-4.29vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.70-4.23vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.07vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-0.26-0.40vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.26-5.33vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.13-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12Brown University2.377.6%1st Place
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5.13Yale University2.8514.4%1st Place
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6.68Boston College2.588.9%1st Place
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7.06Bowdoin College2.068.5%1st Place
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6.67U. S. Naval Academy2.289.2%1st Place
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6.59Roger Williams University2.407.7%1st Place
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8.11University of Pennsylvania1.774.9%1st Place
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9.98Tufts University1.273.0%1st Place
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4.62Stanford University2.8915.9%1st Place
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12.19Boston University1.071.5%1st Place
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9.86Fordham University1.542.9%1st Place
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7.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.136.7%1st Place
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8.77Jacksonville University1.704.3%1st Place
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12.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.3%1st Place
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14.6University of Michigan-0.260.2%1st Place
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10.67Northeastern University1.262.2%1st Place
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14.3SUNY Maritime College-0.130.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Stephan Baker | 14.4% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Reade Decker | 15.9% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 9.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 2.9% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Igoe | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 14.7% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 21.1% | 37.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
| Luke Barker | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 21.9% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.