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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.68+4.20vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia3.01+2.38vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University1.95+4.59vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology2.00+2.60vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.82-1.06vs Predicted
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7St. John's College1.42+2.36vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-0.53vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.35+0.45vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.32-4.67vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College1.73-3.58vs Predicted
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13Columbia University2.43-6.94vs Predicted
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14William and Mary1.27-4.27vs Predicted
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15Queen's University1.79-6.97vs Predicted
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16Colgate University-1.39-0.80vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.21-4.22vs Predicted
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18American University-0.13-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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4.38University of Virginia3.010.2%1st Place
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7.59Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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7.6Rochester Institute of Technology2.000.1%1st Place
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4.94Fordham University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.36St. John's College1.420.0%1st Place
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7.47Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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9.45George Washington University1.350.0%1st Place
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6.33Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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8.42Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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6.06Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.73William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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8.03Queen's University1.790.0%1st Place
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15.2Colgate University-1.390.0%1st Place
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12.78Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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13.45American University-0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Russom | 12.7% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 18.5% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Troche | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Graham Gardner | 13.1% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evgenia Olimpieva | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Christian Geary | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Julia Gardner | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 4.7% | 0.5% |
| Blair Davis | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Schippe | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Irene Jacqz | 10.6% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Conway | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Charles Legge | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Sara Winkelman | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 6.6% | 13.6% | 71.3% |
| Anthony Pappenfus | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 22.3% | 29.3% | 9.3% |
| Noel Klingler | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 17.7% | 35.5% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.