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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.85+4.09vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.77+5.82vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27+6.93vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.37+3.35vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.58+1.48vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.06+0.73vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.28-0.33vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-0.20vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.40-2.16vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.54-0.25vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.72-5.81vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.70-3.11vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.10vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.07-2.01vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.26-4.19vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.13-1.81vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-0.26-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09Yale University2.8513.8%1st Place
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7.82University of Pennsylvania1.776.1%1st Place
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9.93Tufts University1.273.9%1st Place
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7.35Brown University2.376.7%1st Place
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6.48Boston College2.589.8%1st Place
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6.73Bowdoin College2.069.1%1st Place
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6.67U. S. Naval Academy2.289.1%1st Place
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7.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.135.9%1st Place
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6.84Roger Williams University2.408.2%1st Place
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9.75Fordham University1.543.0%1st Place
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5.19Stanford University2.7213.0%1st Place
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8.89Jacksonville University1.704.0%1st Place
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12.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.8%1st Place
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11.99Boston University1.071.9%1st Place
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10.81Northeastern University1.262.3%1st Place
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14.19SUNY Maritime College-0.130.8%1st Place
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14.56University of Michigan-0.260.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Blake Behrens | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Peter Busch | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 19.1% | 14.0% |
| Porter Bell | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 8.8% |
| Sam Monaghan | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| Luke Barker | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 20.9% | 32.1% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 20.5% | 37.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.