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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.64+1.19vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.21+0.61vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University0.55-0.76vs Predicted
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4Sacred Heart University-1.28+0.30vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-2.18+0.28vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.30-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Fairfield University0.640.3%1st Place
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2.61Middlebury College0.210.2%1st Place
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2.24Wesleyan University0.550.3%1st Place
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4.3Sacred Heart University-1.280.1%1st Place
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5.28Amherst College-2.180.0%1st Place
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4.37University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillian Vincens | 33.1% | 31.3% | 23.1% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Anna Spiro | 24.8% | 23.9% | 25.3% | 18.5% | 6.2% | 1.3% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 32.2% | 29.3% | 24.7% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Wynn Simmons | 5.1% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 27.7% | 32.9% | 17.8% |
| Luke Haggerty | 1.0% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 21.0% | 60.5% |
| Sarah Gallagher | 3.8% | 6.2% | 11.7% | 25.8% | 32.8% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.