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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College0.21+1.67vs Predicted
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2Wesleyan University0.55+0.22vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.64-0.87vs Predicted
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4Sacred Heart University-1.28+0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.30-0.57vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-2.18-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Middlebury College0.210.2%1st Place
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2.22Wesleyan University0.550.3%1st Place
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2.13Fairfield University0.640.4%1st Place
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4.29Sacred Heart University-1.280.0%1st Place
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4.43University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.300.0%1st Place
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5.25Amherst College-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Spiro | 20.4% | 25.5% | 29.3% | 17.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 34.6% | 26.9% | 24.7% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Lillian Vincens | 35.1% | 31.1% | 22.4% | 8.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Wynn Simmons | 4.8% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 26.0% | 33.9% | 17.3% |
| Sarah Gallagher | 3.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 27.0% | 30.2% | 23.3% |
| Luke Haggerty | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 10.9% | 24.6% | 56.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.