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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College0.21+1.68vs Predicted
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2Wesleyan University0.55+0.22vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.64-0.86vs Predicted
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4Sacred Heart University-1.28+0.30vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-2.18+0.28vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.30-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Middlebury College0.210.2%1st Place
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2.22Wesleyan University0.550.3%1st Place
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2.14Fairfield University0.640.3%1st Place
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4.3Sacred Heart University-1.280.0%1st Place
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5.28Amherst College-2.180.0%1st Place
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4.37University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Spiro | 21.0% | 23.8% | 29.8% | 18.0% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 35.0% | 27.0% | 22.4% | 12.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Lillian Vincens | 34.5% | 32.0% | 21.7% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Wynn Simmons | 4.8% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 26.1% | 33.8% | 17.6% |
| Luke Haggerty | 1.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 9.5% | 21.1% | 60.6% |
| Sarah Gallagher | 3.6% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 25.6% | 33.1% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.