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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wesleyan University0.55+1.28vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.64+0.12vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College0.21-0.38vs Predicted
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4Sacred Heart University-1.28+0.31vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-2.18+0.29vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.30-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Wesleyan University0.550.3%1st Place
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2.12Fairfield University0.640.4%1st Place
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2.62Middlebury College0.210.2%1st Place
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4.31Sacred Heart University-1.280.0%1st Place
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5.29Amherst College-2.180.0%1st Place
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4.38University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Barton | 30.1% | 30.9% | 25.0% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| Lillian Vincens | 38.2% | 28.1% | 20.0% | 10.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Anna Spiro | 21.7% | 25.3% | 29.6% | 17.1% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Wynn Simmons | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 27.0% | 33.6% | 17.8% |
| Luke Haggerty | 1.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 21.3% | 60.7% |
| Sarah Gallagher | 4.2% | 5.7% | 10.9% | 26.2% | 33.1% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.