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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.27+1.33vs Predicted
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2Wesleyan University-0.18+0.20vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.18-0.79vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-2.18+0.18vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-2.09-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.270.3%1st Place
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2.2Wesleyan University-0.180.3%1st Place
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2.21Middlebury College-0.180.3%1st Place
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4.18Fairfield University-2.180.0%1st Place
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4.09Amherst College-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regina Collari | 28.5% | 29.3% | 25.9% | 13.0% | 3.3% |
| Ali Dawes | 32.2% | 28.2% | 28.9% | 9.1% | 1.6% |
| Hanna Mass | 31.6% | 30.1% | 26.0% | 10.7% | 1.6% |
| Sarah Bowman | 3.6% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 34.4% | 47.8% |
| Emily Graham | 4.1% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 32.8% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.