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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wesleyan University-0.18+1.23vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-0.18+0.20vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.27-0.69vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-2.18+0.17vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-2.09-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Wesleyan University-0.180.3%1st Place
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2.2Middlebury College-0.180.3%1st Place
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2.31University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.270.3%1st Place
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4.17Fairfield University-2.180.0%1st Place
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4.09Amherst College-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Dawes | 31.5% | 30.3% | 24.0% | 11.8% | 2.4% |
| Hanna Mass | 32.1% | 28.8% | 27.9% | 9.5% | 1.7% |
| Regina Collari | 28.4% | 28.6% | 28.9% | 12.0% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Bowman | 3.6% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 34.1% | 47.8% |
| Emily Graham | 4.4% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 32.6% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.