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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.68+4.21vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.32+3.34vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.82+0.86vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.79+3.28vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University1.95+1.62vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College1.73+1.41vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-0.56vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia3.01-4.70vs Predicted
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10William and Mary1.27-0.24vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.35-1.35vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology2.00-4.55vs Predicted
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13Colgate University-1.39+2.19vs Predicted
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15Columbia University2.43-8.96vs Predicted
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16St. John's College1.42-6.75vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.21-4.22vs Predicted
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18American University-0.13-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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6.34Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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4.86Fordham University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.28Queen's University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.62Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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8.41Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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7.44Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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4.3University of Virginia3.010.2%1st Place
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9.76William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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9.65George Washington University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.45Rochester Institute of Technology2.000.1%1st Place
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15.19Colgate University-1.390.0%1st Place
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6.04Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.25St. John's College1.420.0%1st Place
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12.78Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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13.42American University-0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Russom | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blair Davis | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gardner | 14.4% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Legge | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Paul Stevens | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Christian Geary | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 17.9% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Conway | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 1.3% |
| Julia Gardner | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Nick Troche | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sara Winkelman | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 14.7% | 70.5% |
| Irene Jacqz | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evgenia Olimpieva | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Anthony Pappenfus | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 21.3% | 29.2% | 9.8% |
| Noel Klingler | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 17.5% | 35.5% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.