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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.58+5.62vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.37+5.10vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.77+4.92vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.85+0.99vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.27+4.83vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+1.80vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.72-1.78vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.28-1.16vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.07+3.23vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.70-1.12vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.06-4.23vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.54-2.13vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.26-2.17vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-0.13+0.30vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-2.22vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.40-9.49vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-0.26-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62Boston College2.588.5%1st Place
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7.1Brown University2.377.5%1st Place
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7.92University of Pennsylvania1.775.9%1st Place
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4.99Yale University2.8516.2%1st Place
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9.83Tufts University1.273.2%1st Place
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7.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.136.2%1st Place
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5.22Stanford University2.7212.8%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Naval Academy2.288.4%1st Place
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12.23Boston University1.071.4%1st Place
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8.88Jacksonville University1.705.1%1st Place
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6.77Bowdoin College2.067.9%1st Place
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9.87Fordham University1.543.1%1st Place
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10.83Northeastern University1.262.5%1st Place
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14.3SUNY Maritime College-0.130.5%1st Place
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12.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.7%1st Place
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6.51Roger Williams University2.408.3%1st Place
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14.53University of Michigan-0.260.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Busch | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Stephan Baker | 16.2% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| JJ Klempen | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Porter Bell | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 8.9% |
| Patrick Igoe | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Thress | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Sam Monaghan | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 3.0% |
| Luke Barker | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 14.4% | 20.8% | 32.4% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 14.2% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 21.6% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.