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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.27+1.35vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-0.18+0.22vs Predicted
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3Amherst College-2.09+1.06vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University-0.18-1.81vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-2.18-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.270.3%1st Place
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2.22Middlebury College-0.180.3%1st Place
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4.06Amherst College-2.090.0%1st Place
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2.19Wesleyan University-0.180.3%1st Place
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4.17Fairfield University-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regina Collari | 28.4% | 28.3% | 27.0% | 12.7% | 3.6% |
| Hanna Mass | 30.7% | 30.6% | 26.0% | 11.0% | 1.7% |
| Emily Graham | 4.7% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 34.3% | 43.8% |
| Ali Dawes | 32.8% | 28.4% | 27.1% | 9.9% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Bowman | 3.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 32.1% | 49.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.