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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College-0.18+1.26vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.27+0.31vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University-2.18+1.14vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University-0.18-1.79vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-2.09-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Middlebury College-0.180.3%1st Place
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2.31University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.270.3%1st Place
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4.14Fairfield University-2.180.0%1st Place
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2.21Wesleyan University-0.180.3%1st Place
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4.08Amherst College-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanna Mass | 31.0% | 29.0% | 26.1% | 11.0% | 2.9% |
| Regina Collari | 27.9% | 30.0% | 27.4% | 12.7% | 2.0% |
| Sarah Bowman | 4.5% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 31.2% | 48.9% |
| Ali Dawes | 32.6% | 28.4% | 26.7% | 10.4% | 1.9% |
| Emily Graham | 4.0% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 34.7% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.