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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wesleyan University-0.18+1.25vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.27+0.29vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.18-0.80vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-2.18+0.17vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-2.09-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Wesleyan University-0.180.3%1st Place
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2.29University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.270.3%1st Place
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2.2Middlebury College-0.180.3%1st Place
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4.17Fairfield University-2.180.0%1st Place
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4.09Amherst College-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Dawes | 30.7% | 30.5% | 24.8% | 11.5% | 2.5% |
| Regina Collari | 29.4% | 27.1% | 30.6% | 10.7% | 2.2% |
| Hanna Mass | 32.1% | 29.7% | 25.8% | 10.7% | 1.7% |
| Sarah Bowman | 3.6% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 34.2% | 47.9% |
| Emily Graham | 4.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 32.9% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.