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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.34+1.37vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-0.95+1.91vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University0.36-0.75vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-1.62+0.77vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-0.45-1.58vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute-1.16-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Ocean County College0.340.3%1st Place
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3.91University of Delaware-0.950.1%1st Place
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2.25Monmouth University0.360.3%1st Place
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4.77Rutgers University-1.620.1%1st Place
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3.42University of Pittsburgh-0.450.1%1st Place
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4.28Webb Institute-1.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Dittenhofer | 31.0% | 29.7% | 19.8% | 12.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Martha Diezemann | 8.8% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 21.9% | 25.0% | 16.4% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 34.8% | 27.4% | 21.9% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Robert Jarrett | 5.4% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 14.8% | 22.7% | 44.1% |
| Geoffrey Wells | 13.3% | 17.7% | 20.5% | 21.3% | 16.5% | 10.7% |
| Ryan Flanagan | 6.7% | 8.2% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 28.1% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.