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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Delaware-0.95+2.97vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.34+0.31vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University0.36-0.78vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-0.45-0.69vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-1.16-0.67vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.62-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97University of Delaware-0.950.1%1st Place
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2.31Ocean County College0.340.3%1st Place
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2.22Monmouth University0.360.4%1st Place
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3.31University of Pittsburgh-0.450.1%1st Place
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4.33Webb Institute-1.160.1%1st Place
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4.86Rutgers University-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martha Diezemann | 8.5% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 22.7% | 23.9% | 18.2% |
| Troy Dittenhofer | 32.5% | 30.1% | 18.9% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 35.3% | 28.0% | 21.1% | 11.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Geoffrey Wells | 13.9% | 17.5% | 22.1% | 23.3% | 16.3% | 6.9% |
| Ryan Flanagan | 6.6% | 7.1% | 14.2% | 18.4% | 26.3% | 27.4% |
| Robert Jarrett | 3.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 24.6% | 45.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.