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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.34+1.35vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University0.36+0.25vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh-0.45+0.29vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.95-0.02vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-1.16-0.69vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.62-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Ocean County College0.340.3%1st Place
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2.25Monmouth University0.360.4%1st Place
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3.29University of Pittsburgh-0.450.1%1st Place
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3.98University of Delaware-0.950.1%1st Place
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4.31Webb Institute-1.160.1%1st Place
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4.83Rutgers University-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Dittenhofer | 31.2% | 29.7% | 20.6% | 12.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 36.5% | 27.2% | 18.8% | 11.1% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Geoffrey Wells | 14.3% | 17.8% | 22.1% | 22.3% | 17.5% | 6.0% |
| Martha Diezemann | 7.9% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 20.5% | 25.7% | 17.7% |
| Ryan Flanagan | 6.4% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 19.9% | 26.0% | 26.9% |
| Robert Jarrett | 3.7% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 21.3% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.