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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.34+1.37vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University0.36+0.27vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-1.62+1.78vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-0.45-0.70vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.95-0.97vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute-1.16-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Ocean County College0.340.3%1st Place
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2.27Monmouth University0.360.4%1st Place
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4.78Rutgers University-1.620.0%1st Place
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3.3University of Pittsburgh-0.450.1%1st Place
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4.03University of Delaware-0.950.1%1st Place
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4.25Webb Institute-1.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Dittenhofer | 30.6% | 29.3% | 21.1% | 12.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 35.7% | 26.3% | 20.3% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Robert Jarrett | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 23.7% | 44.7% |
| Geoffrey Wells | 14.2% | 17.1% | 23.6% | 21.2% | 17.7% | 6.2% |
| Martha Diezemann | 8.2% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 22.4% | 23.8% | 20.0% |
| Ryan Flanagan | 6.5% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 25.6% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.