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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.01+3.29vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.68+2.23vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University1.95+3.59vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.82-0.02vs Predicted
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6St. John's College1.42+3.35vs Predicted
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7Queen's University1.79+1.20vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-0.53vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.35+0.44vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology2.00-2.61vs Predicted
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11Columbia University2.43-4.93vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College1.73-3.69vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.32-6.56vs Predicted
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14William and Mary1.27-4.21vs Predicted
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15Colgate University-1.39+0.17vs Predicted
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17American University-0.13-3.51vs Predicted
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18Princeton University0.21-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29University of Virginia3.010.2%1st Place
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5.23University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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7.59Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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4.98Fordham University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.35St. John's College1.420.0%1st Place
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8.2Queen's University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.47Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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9.44George Washington University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.39Rochester Institute of Technology2.000.1%1st Place
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6.07Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.31Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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6.44Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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9.79William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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15.17Colgate University-1.390.0%1st Place
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13.49American University-0.130.0%1st Place
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12.79Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Stessing | 16.6% | 17.0% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 13.2% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gardner | 13.6% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Evgenia Olimpieva | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Charles Legge | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Julia Gardner | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 0.3% |
| Nick Troche | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Irene Jacqz | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Blair Davis | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Conway | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Sara Winkelman | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 6.3% | 14.3% | 70.0% |
| Noel Klingler | 0.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 16.8% | 36.7% | 17.6% |
| Anthony Pappenfus | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 21.8% | 27.4% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.