← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.37+6.11vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+5.78vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.58+3.72vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.27+5.78vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.85-0.01vs Predicted
-
6Boston University1.07+6.12vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.06-0.04vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University1.70+0.81vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.40-2.58vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.07+1.00vs Predicted
-
11University of Pennsylvania1.77-3.06vs Predicted
-
12Stanford University2.72-6.83vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University1.17-2.52vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy2.28-7.59vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Maritime College-0.13-0.84vs Predicted
-
160.68-4.19vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.11Brown University2.377.9%1st Place
-
7.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.136.2%1st Place
-
6.72Boston College2.588.3%1st Place
-
9.78Tufts University1.273.8%1st Place
-
4.99Yale University2.8513.8%1st Place
-
12.12Boston University1.072.0%1st Place
-
6.96Bowdoin College2.067.3%1st Place
-
8.81Jacksonville University1.705.2%1st Place
-
6.42Roger Williams University2.409.4%1st Place
-
11.0Northeastern University1.072.5%1st Place
-
7.94University of Pennsylvania1.775.2%1st Place
-
5.17Stanford University2.7213.8%1st Place
-
10.48Fordham University1.173.0%1st Place
-
6.41U. S. Naval Academy2.289.2%1st Place
-
14.16SUNY Maritime College-0.130.4%1st Place
-
11.810.681.7%1st Place
-
15.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.610.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Peter Busch | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Stephan Baker | 13.8% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 7.4% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Igoe | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 2.9% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 13.8% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Barker | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 25.1% | 26.5% |
| Jack Homa | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 4.9% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 18.2% | 54.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.