← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Monmouth University0.36+0.92vs Predicted
-
2University of Delaware-0.30+0.55vs Predicted
-
3University of Pittsburgh-0.62-0.06vs Predicted
-
4Rutgers University-1.62+0.04vs Predicted
-
5Webb Institute-1.16-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.92Monmouth University0.360.5%1st Place
-
2.55University of Delaware-0.300.2%1st Place
-
2.94University of Pittsburgh-0.620.2%1st Place
-
4.04Rutgers University-1.620.0%1st Place
-
3.55Webb Institute-1.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 47.2% | 26.3% | 16.6% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
| Sean Crandall | 22.3% | 29.5% | 24.4% | 18.1% | 5.7% |
| Bryce Merrill | 16.9% | 20.8% | 25.7% | 24.5% | 12.1% |
| Robert Jarrett | 4.6% | 8.4% | 15.3% | 21.7% | 50.0% |
| Ryan Flanagan | 9.0% | 15.0% | 18.0% | 28.2% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.