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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College-0.80+2.36vs Predicted
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2University of Pittsburgh0.43-0.12vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-0.46-0.18vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.24-0.08vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-1.48-0.70vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.84-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Ocean County College-0.800.1%1st Place
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1.88University of Pittsburgh0.430.5%1st Place
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2.82Monmouth University-0.460.2%1st Place
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3.92University of Delaware-1.240.1%1st Place
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4.3Webb Institute-1.480.1%1st Place
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4.71Rutgers University-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Boland | 13.5% | 18.7% | 21.8% | 20.2% | 16.2% | 9.6% |
| Aaron Fairchild | 49.2% | 26.5% | 14.3% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Veronica Lane | 19.5% | 25.5% | 23.7% | 18.5% | 9.9% | 2.9% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 7.9% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 20.2% | 24.9% | 17.2% |
| Robert Maes | 6.3% | 8.1% | 14.4% | 19.3% | 23.8% | 28.1% |
| Emily Pooley | 3.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 22.9% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.