← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Minnesota0.39+3.31vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan1.44+0.69vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan1.28-0.04vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University-0.68+2.12vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan1.40-2.22vs Predicted
-
6University of Illinois-0.28-0.54vs Predicted
-
7University of Toledo-0.26-1.51vs Predicted
-
8University of Chicago-0.79-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.31University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
-
2.69University of Michigan1.440.3%1st Place
-
2.96University of Michigan1.280.2%1st Place
-
6.12Northwestern University-0.680.0%1st Place
-
2.78University of Michigan1.400.3%1st Place
-
5.46University of Illinois-0.280.1%1st Place
-
5.49University of Toledo-0.260.0%1st Place
-
6.19University of Chicago-0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cailin Oakes | 9.1% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 3.6% |
| Colton Gerber | 27.5% | 23.8% | 21.2% | 14.2% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Connor Goulet | 22.7% | 21.0% | 22.1% | 16.4% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Kelly Logacho | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 17.9% | 21.4% | 30.6% |
| Austin Haag | 25.3% | 25.6% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 20.1% | 18.6% | 16.7% |
| Brian Pribe | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 21.8% | 17.0% |
| Bay Hodge | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 22.3% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.