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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.82+3.81vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.35+7.47vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.79+5.14vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.68+0.41vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia3.01-1.56vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+0.42vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology2.00-0.44vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University1.95-1.49vs Predicted
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10Columbia University2.43-4.04vs Predicted
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11William and Mary1.27-1.11vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.32-5.57vs Predicted
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13Ocean County College1.73-4.66vs Predicted
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14St. John's College1.42-4.65vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.21-2.37vs Predicted
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17Colgate University-1.39-1.82vs Predicted
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18American University-0.13-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81Fordham University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.47George Washington University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.14Queen's University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.41University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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4.44University of Virginia3.010.2%1st Place
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7.42Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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7.56Rochester Institute of Technology2.000.1%1st Place
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7.51Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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5.96Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.89William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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6.43Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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8.34Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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9.35St. John's College1.420.0%1st Place
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12.63Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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15.18Colgate University-1.390.0%1st Place
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13.47American University-0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Gardner | 14.1% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Gardner | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Charles Legge | 6.0% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Russom | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 16.9% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Nick Troche | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Conway | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 0.7% |
| Blair Davis | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Evgenia Olimpieva | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Anthony Pappenfus | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 21.2% | 26.7% | 8.8% |
| Sara Winkelman | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 14.4% | 72.3% |
| Noel Klingler | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 18.7% | 34.6% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.