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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.58+5.64vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.85+2.96vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+4.87vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.28+2.72vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.07+7.20vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.81vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.72-1.92vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.07+2.96vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.06-2.22vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.40-3.50vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.37-3.85vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.27-2.07vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.17-2.57vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.70-5.36vs Predicted
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150.68-3.17vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.13-1.79vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64Boston College2.589.5%1st Place
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4.96Yale University2.8514.1%1st Place
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7.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.136.3%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Naval Academy2.288.4%1st Place
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12.2Boston University1.071.6%1st Place
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7.81University of Pennsylvania1.776.4%1st Place
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5.08Stanford University2.7214.2%1st Place
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10.96Northeastern University1.072.2%1st Place
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6.78Bowdoin College2.068.5%1st Place
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6.5Roger Williams University2.408.8%1st Place
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7.15Brown University2.376.6%1st Place
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9.93Tufts University1.273.5%1st Place
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10.43Fordham University1.172.8%1st Place
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8.64Jacksonville University1.704.1%1st Place
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11.830.682.1%1st Place
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14.21SUNY Maritime College-0.130.5%1st Place
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15.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.610.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Busch | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 14.1% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Porter Bell | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 8.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 14.2% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 2.9% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 2.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Jack Homa | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 5.5% |
| Luke Barker | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 27.5% | 25.6% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 18.4% | 53.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.