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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.44+1.67vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois-0.28+3.52vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.39+1.35vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.28-1.08vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.40-2.19vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.68+0.05vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-0.79-0.71vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-0.26-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67University of Michigan1.440.3%1st Place
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5.52University of Illinois-0.280.1%1st Place
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4.35University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
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2.92University of Michigan1.280.2%1st Place
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2.81University of Michigan1.400.2%1st Place
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6.05Northwestern University-0.680.0%1st Place
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6.29University of Chicago-0.790.0%1st Place
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5.38University of Toledo-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Gerber | 27.6% | 24.2% | 21.5% | 13.9% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 16.5% | 19.5% | 21.4% | 16.2% |
| Cailin Oakes | 9.1% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 19.5% | 16.0% | 10.3% | 4.4% |
| Connor Goulet | 22.6% | 22.3% | 20.3% | 19.5% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Austin Haag | 25.0% | 24.1% | 19.0% | 16.5% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Kelly Logacho | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 18.0% | 22.0% | 28.4% |
| Bay Hodge | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 15.8% | 21.9% | 36.3% |
| Brian Pribe | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 18.5% | 18.7% | 20.6% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.